Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.005386 0.005943 0.006519 0.007157 0.007844 0.008560 0.009361
2025-02-16 0.004613 0.005426 0.006307 0.007330 0.008480 0.009729 0.011183
2025-02-23 0.003976 0.004909 0.005958 0.007217 0.008679 0.010312 0.012269
2025-03-02 0.003564 0.004585 0.005769 0.007229 0.008968 0.010958 0.013394
2025-03-09 0.003354 0.004468 0.005794 0.007467 0.009501 0.011874 0.014829
2025-03-16 0.003107 0.004279 0.005707 0.007549 0.009833 0.012544 0.015974
2025-03-23 0.002934 0.004164 0.005697 0.007711 0.010253 0.013315 0.017242
2025-03-30 0.002802 0.004090 0.005726 0.007914 0.010718 0.014142 0.018587
2025-04-06 0.002540 0.003823 0.005490 0.007762 0.010723 0.014391 0.019215
2025-04-13 0.002369 0.003668 0.005388 0.007772 0.010925 0.014881 0.020143
2025-04-20 0.002174 0.003464 0.005208 0.007668 0.010969 0.015165 0.020808
2025-04-27 0.002024 0.003314 0.005092 0.007639 0.011105 0.015561 0.021617
2025-05-04 0.001875 0.003160 0.004965 0.007594 0.011222 0.015943 0.022424
2025-05-11 0.001809 0.003123 0.005001 0.007773 0.011645 0.016731 0.023773
2025-05-18 0.001659 0.002950 0.004831 0.007656 0.011654 0.016967 0.024397
2025-05-25 0.001560 0.002847 0.004758 0.007668 0.011839 0.017437 0.025334
2025-06-01 0.001532 0.002855 0.004847 0.007917 0.012357 0.018363 0.026891
2025-06-08 0.001463 0.002793 0.004828 0.008003 0.012645 0.018979 0.028039
2025-06-15 0.001421 0.002770 0.004866 0.008173 0.013053 0.019763 0.029422
2025-06-22 0.001391 0.002767 0.004932 0.008385 0.013525 0.020641 0.030945
2025-06-29 0.001277 0.002614 0.004757 0.008226 0.013452 0.020757 0.031422
2025-07-06 0.001209 0.002535 0.004696 0.008236 0.013623 0.021216 0.032375
2025-07-13 0.001120 0.002414 0.004561 0.008128 0.013614 0.021416 0.032968